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Red6
14845.1
6956.4
12960.2
Blue0
41821.1
4415.6
14282.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151102040608010060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
Unranked
6.40.6
4.64.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.7
418
Unranked
21.11.0
5.94.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1484
Unranked
5.10.7
3.93.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
441
Unranked
5.61.0
3.42.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1296
Unranked
0.20.7
6.05.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1428
Unranked
2.61.0
2.21.3
Auto
Teleop
End