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Red23
16215.9
6956.4
9225.1
Blue11
36414.3
14261.1
6605.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1316010203040502311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
Unranked
6.40.6
4.04.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
364
Unranked
14.30.4
8.17.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1621
Unranked
5.90.8
2.93.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
660
Unranked
5.10.4
4.64.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
922
Unranked
5.10.8
6.37.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
1426
Unranked
1.10.4
2.92.5
Auto
Teleop
End