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Red47
16215.9
23118.6
14845.1
Blue11
14792.4
13265.7
1486.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161801030404711

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
Unranked
18.62.5
9.512.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.2
148
Unranked
6.40.6
8.47.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1621
Unranked
5.92.5
3.76.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1326
Unranked
5.70.6
3.73.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1484
Unranked
5.12.5
3.45.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
1479
Unranked
2.40.6
5.75.2
Auto
Teleop
End