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Red0
14261.1
4769.6
13265.7
Blue19
16287.5
15131.4
4415.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1412020406080100019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
476
Unranked
9.61.1
7.46.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
1628
Unranked
7.50.6
6.57.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1326
Unranked
5.71.1
3.12.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
441
Unranked
5.60.6
3.84.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1426
Unranked
1.11.1
3.01.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1513
Unranked
1.40.6
1.82.4
Auto
Teleop
End