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Red5
45711.5
4769.6
14282.6
Blue42
14261.1
41821.1
23118.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15310406080100542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
457
Unranked
11.50.6
10.19.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
418
Unranked
21.11.0
11.912.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
476
Unranked
9.61.0
6.35.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.0
231
Unranked
18.61.0
15.816.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1428
Unranked
2.61.0
0.9-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
1426
Unranked
1.11.0
1.82.9
Auto
Teleop
End