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Red1
12141.3
14292.7
6533.0
Blue16
14261.1
6605.1
23118.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43120406080100116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
653
Unranked
3.00.5
2.72.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.6
231
Unranked
18.61.0
16.815.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1429
Unranked
2.70.5
3.42.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
660
Unranked
5.11.0
7.76.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1214
Unranked
1.30.5
1.20.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1426
Unranked
1.11.0
2.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End