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Red0
45618.1
4341.5
12960.2
Blue31
14779.7
45711.5
16287.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24190103040506070031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
Unranked
18.12.0
18.516.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
457
Unranked
11.50.6
9.510.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
434
Unranked
1.52.0
1.5-0.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
1477
Unranked
9.70.9
3.74.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1296
Unranked
0.22.0
3.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
1628
Unranked
7.50.9
6.87.7
Auto
Teleop
End