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Red49
41821.1
16033.4
16287.5
Blue6
1486.4
14961.0
6605.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24150102030405060496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
Unranked
21.12.2
13.515.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.7
148
Unranked
6.40.8
7.87.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1628
Unranked
7.52.2
7.79.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
660
Unranked
5.10.8
6.75.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1603
Unranked
3.42.2
1.33.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
1496
Unranked
1.00.8
1.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End