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Red40
6475.9
4769.6
14845.1
Blue0
6533.0
14961.0
14603.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17401020304050400

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
476
Unranked
9.61.9
6.68.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
1460
Unranked
3.50.4
3.02.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
647
Unranked
5.91.9
4.96.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
653
Unranked
3.00.4
1.51.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1484
Unranked
5.11.9
3.95.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
1496
Unranked
1.00.4
0.70.3
Auto
Teleop
End