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Red7
4341.5
14292.7
16215.9
Blue0
14961.0
6475.9
108310.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82203040506070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1621
Unranked
5.93.0
5.92.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
1083
Unranked
10.71.3
9.58.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1429
Unranked
2.70.2
2.82.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
647
Unranked
5.91.7
6.64.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
434
Unranked
1.50.2
3.93.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1496
Unranked
1.01.7
4.12.4
Auto
Teleop
End