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Red41
6533.0
62410.1
14779.7
Blue31
16215.9
4769.6
16033.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17170102030404131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
Unranked
10.11.7
8.09.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
476
Unranked
9.61.0
8.59.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1477
Unranked
9.71.7
8.09.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
1621
Unranked
5.91.0
5.86.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
653
Unranked
3.01.7
1.12.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1603
Unranked
3.41.0
3.04.0
Auto
Teleop
End