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Red10
6821.8
130514.8
12417.3
Blue0
108411.2
4018.3
16052.0
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4831020406080100100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
Unranked
21.80.6
22.421.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
40
Unranked
18.30.6
18.818.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1305
Unranked
14.80.6
15.414.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
1084
Unranked
11.20.7
11.911.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1241
Unranked
7.30.7
8.07.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
1605
Unranked
2.00.6
2.62.0
Auto
Teleop
End