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Red0
15658.2
16052.0
15589.1
Blue22
11148.6
12417.3
10065.1
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7310204050607080022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1558
Unranked
9.15.1
7.42.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1114
Unranked
8.60.5
9.18.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1565
Unranked
8.25.8
8.22.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1241
Unranked
7.30.5
11.110.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1605
Unranked
2.02.5
4.92.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
1006
Unranked
5.10.5
8.17.6
Auto
Teleop
End