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Red7
12417.3
8436.6
8862.4
Blue19
11120.5
15589.1
130514.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232301020304050719

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
Unranked
7.31.4
10.79.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
1305
Unranked
14.80.3
14.914.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
843
Unranked
6.61.4
9.58.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1558
Unranked
9.10.3
8.27.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
886
Unranked
2.41.3
3.11.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
1112
Unranked
0.50.3
-0.2-0.5
Auto
Teleop
End