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Red1
15687.5
12766.8
4679.5
Blue62
18110.8
16874.1
6116.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18290406080100120162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
Unranked
9.51.6
6.85.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
61
Unranked
16.42.1
17.219.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1568
Unranked
7.50.9
5.84.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
181
Unranked
10.81.7
7.59.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1276
Unranked
6.81.6
7.05.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
1687
Unranked
4.12.9
3.15.9
Auto
Teleop
End