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Red47
22219.4
5969.3
2465.4
Blue32
12124.2
4679.5
1668.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29330204060801004732

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
Unranked
19.40.9
18.819.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
121
Unranked
24.20.0
18.818.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
596
Unranked
9.30.9
5.86.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
467
Unranked
9.50.0
5.35.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
246
Unranked
5.41.5
4.66.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
166
Unranked
8.70.0
8.08.0
Auto
Teleop
End