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Red40
963.8
13111.7
17515.7
Blue34
27114.5
22817.1
12766.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313210204050604034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
Unranked
15.70.5
12.913.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
228
Unranked
17.10.1
14.314.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
131
Unranked
11.70.5
10.110.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
271
Unranked
14.50.1
12.612.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
96
Unranked
3.80.7
8.59.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
1276
Unranked
6.80.2
4.54.7
Auto
Teleop
End