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Red8
2385.1
5969.3
16862.1
Blue22
13507.1
15717.2
16874.1
31%Model gave it69%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1431020406080100822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
596
Unranked
9.30.4
6.66.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
157
Unranked
17.20.4
15.315.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
238
Unranked
5.10.7
2.92.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
1350
Unranked
7.10.4
8.98.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1686
Unranked
2.10.7
6.55.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
1687
Unranked
4.10.6
5.04.4
Auto
Teleop
End