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Red53
888.4
1668.7
5626.2
Blue4
16862.1
2465.4
5719.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22200103040506070534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
Unranked
8.71.6
7.28.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
571
Unranked
9.70.8
9.38.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
88
Unranked
8.42.3
8.210.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
246
Unranked
5.41.3
6.55.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
562
Unranked
6.22.6
6.38.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
1686
Unranked
2.11.3
4.32.9
Auto
Teleop
End