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Red26
18110.8
6116.4
8394.3
Blue43
17711.9
13111.7
1766.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33270204060801001201402643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61
Unranked
16.40.3
16.816.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
177
Unranked
11.90.8
11.211.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
181
Unranked
10.80.3
11.110.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
131
Unranked
11.70.8
10.911.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
839
Unranked
4.30.3
4.74.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
176
Unranked
6.50.8
5.76.5
Auto
Teleop
End