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Red40
5969.3
35011.0
13111.7
Blue57
1909.9
4025.3
23716.1
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1645060801001204057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
Unranked
11.71.5
9.511.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.7
40
Unranked
25.30.8
20.120.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
350
Unranked
11.01.5
5.06.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
237
Unranked
16.10.8
18.519.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
596
Unranked
9.31.0
4.75.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
190
Unranked
9.91.1
2.94.0
Auto
Teleop
End