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Red27
110810.8
4335.4
9456.4
Blue32
15388.4
4993.8
5559.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2022010304050602732

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1108
Unranked
10.80.3
10.610.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
555
Unranked
9.60.6
9.09.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
945
Unranked
6.40.3
6.16.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
1538
Unranked
8.40.6
7.88.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
433
Unranked
5.40.3
5.15.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
499
Unranked
3.80.6
3.23.8
Auto
Teleop
End