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Red49
64712.6
83613.1
126612.9
Blue85
12622.9
15915.1
127917.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255504060801004985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
Unranked
13.11.0
9.810.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.8
126
Unranked
22.92.1
17.319.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1266
Unranked
12.91.2
8.69.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
1279
Unranked
17.22.3
18.921.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
647
Unranked
12.61.2
10.211.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
159
Unranked
15.12.1
14.916.9
Auto
Teleop
End