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Red38
15388.4
24512.8
19415.3
Blue34
126612.9
3867.5
17411.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22290104050603834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
Unranked
12.80.8
12.613.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1266
Unranked
12.90.4
8.28.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1538
Unranked
8.40.9
6.87.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
174
Unranked
11.10.3
10.510.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1941
Unranked
5.30.8
3.03.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
386
Unranked
7.50.4
9.19.5
Auto
Teleop
End