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Red9
7512.6
4993.8
29216.8
Blue29
13028.2
53810.9
15955.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36250206080100929

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
Unranked
16.81.3
18.517.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
538
Unranked
10.90.1
9.89.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
75
Unranked
12.61.3
11.810.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
1302
Unranked
8.20.2
7.77.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
499
Unranked
3.81.6
4.42.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
1595
Unranked
5.70.1
9.29.3
Auto
Teleop
End