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Red21
3319.3
190219.8
14500.7
Blue41
154912.5
102311.6
162615.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373725303540452141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
Unranked
19.80.8
20.519.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
1626
Unranked
15.10.3
15.215.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
33
Unranked
19.30.8
16.816.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
1549
Unranked
12.50.3
13.113.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1450
Unranked
0.70.8
-0.3-1.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.9
1023
Unranked
11.60.3
9.09.2
Auto
Teleop
End