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Red44
19415.3
8710.9
12622.9
Blue56
17921.6
53810.9
125014.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354002060804456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
Unranked
22.90.5
19.419.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
179
Unranked
21.60.9
15.416.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
87
Unranked
10.90.5
10.711.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
1250
Unranked
14.70.9
13.614.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1941
Unranked
5.30.4
5.25.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
538
Unranked
10.90.9
9.910.8
Auto
Teleop
End