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Red80
139410.1
27123.8
23342.9
Blue2
8127.4
64712.6
13028.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions781704060100120140160802

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
Unranked
42.90.5
40.040.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.2
647
Unranked
12.61.3
11.510.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
271
Unranked
23.80.5
22.322.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.6
1302
Unranked
8.21.4
7.96.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1394
Unranked
10.10.5
8.38.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
812
Unranked
7.41.2
5.94.7
Auto
Teleop
End