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Red52
9456.4
40112.9
29630.5
Blue43
3319.3
83613.1
37522.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465502040801005243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
296
Unranked
30.50.2
29.729.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
375
Unranked
22.40.6
26.425.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
401
Unranked
12.90.3
10.410.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
33
Unranked
19.30.6
17.116.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
945
Unranked
6.40.2
7.17.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
836
Unranked
13.10.6
10.610.0
Auto
Teleop
End