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Red75
110810.8
27123.8
52214.2
Blue45
35718.3
15683.5
16757.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48270204060801007545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
271
Unranked
23.81.5
22.824.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
357
Unranked
18.30.8
18.819.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
522
Unranked
14.21.5
13.114.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
1675
Unranked
7.80.8
5.46.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1108
Unranked
10.81.5
9.210.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
1568
Unranked
3.50.8
5.25.9
Auto
Teleop
End