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Red28
35718.3
19415.3
83613.1
Blue39
74413.8
99911.9
8127.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372702060801001202839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
357
Unranked
18.30.4
19.619.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
744
Unranked
13.80.5
10.210.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
836
Unranked
13.10.4
10.09.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
999
Unranked
11.90.9
11.612.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1941
Unranked
5.30.4
5.85.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
812
Unranked
7.40.5
6.97.4
Auto
Teleop
End