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Red40
6868.3
113816.9
35718.3
Blue10
14500.7
16547.0
105710.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48130204060801004010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
357
Unranked
18.30.2
20.620.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
1057
Unranked
10.00.4
12.011.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1138
Unranked
16.90.2
17.417.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
1654
Unranked
7.00.4
5.34.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
686
Unranked
8.30.3
6.05.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
1450
Unranked
0.70.4
0.0-0.3
Auto
Teleop
End