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Red54
12013.6
9229.5
29216.8
Blue39
110810.8
74413.8
64712.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403102060801001205439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
Unranked
16.80.8
16.517.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
744
Unranked
13.80.3
10.711.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
120
Unranked
13.60.8
12.913.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
647
Unranked
12.60.3
11.211.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
922
Unranked
9.50.8
9.510.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
1108
Unranked
10.80.3
10.210.6
Auto
Teleop
End