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Red23
17434.5
22614.6
8710.9
Blue42
102311.6
410.5
175621.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294202060802342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
Unranked
14.60.6
14.313.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
1756
Unranked
21.40.1
21.021.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
87
Unranked
10.90.6
11.010.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1023
Unranked
11.60.1
8.89.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1743
Unranked
4.50.4
5.55.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
4
Unranked
10.50.1
10.310.4
Auto
Teleop
End