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Red64
19121.8
139410.1
132319.0
Blue17
20310.4
19415.3
180316.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523201001502006417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
191
Unranked
21.80.7
21.021.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
1803
Unranked
16.40.9
17.216.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1323
Unranked
19.00.7
18.819.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
203
Unranked
10.40.9
11.310.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1394
Unranked
10.10.7
9.410.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
1941
Unranked
5.30.9
6.25.3
Auto
Teleop
End