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Red15
19175.0
18974.2
8126.7
Blue1
14016.8
12908.0
19261.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2017010304050607080151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
812
Unranked
6.70.4
9.69.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
1290
Unranked
8.01.4
7.35.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1917
Unranked
5.00.4
4.64.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
1401
Unranked
6.81.4
5.54.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1897
Unranked
4.20.4
5.95.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
1926
Unranked
1.41.4
4.83.4
Auto
Teleop
End