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Red46
18282.4
124119.7
115811.3
Blue10
8126.7
19787.7
11652.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2023010304050604610

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
Unranked
19.72.2
11.313.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
1978
Unranked
7.71.1
5.84.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1158
Unranked
11.32.2
5.07.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
812
Unranked
6.71.1
9.28.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1828
Unranked
2.42.2
3.75.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1165
Unranked
2.71.1
7.66.6
Auto
Teleop
End