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Red0
961.1
12128.5
14560.6
Blue36
6967.6
17984.1
12908.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17180510152025303540036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1212
Unranked
8.51.5
5.94.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1290
Unranked
8.01.6
5.97.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
96
Unranked
1.11.5
6.85.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
696
Unranked
7.61.6
7.99.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1456
Unranked
0.61.5
4.83.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
1798
Unranked
4.11.6
3.55.0
Auto
Teleop
End