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Red0
961.1
6877.2
16336.9
Blue20
8126.7
8428.5
14560.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22200406080020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
Unranked
7.21.8
7.86.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
842
Unranked
8.50.0
8.68.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1633
Unranked
6.91.8
8.87.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
812
Unranked
6.70.0
8.18.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
96
Unranked
1.11.8
5.33.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1456
Unranked
0.60.0
3.43.4
Auto
Teleop
End