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Red6
152710.3
19787.7
16336.9
Blue28
17269.0
12128.5
8428.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27190406080628

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1527
Unranked
10.31.6
14.612.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1726
Unranked
9.00.7
6.16.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1978
Unranked
7.71.6
4.22.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
842
Unranked
8.50.7
8.69.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1633
Unranked
6.91.6
7.05.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
1212
Unranked
8.50.7
5.46.0
Auto
Teleop
End