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Red21
18974.2
14560.6
10117.7
Blue5
9963.7
19787.7
10708.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1819010304050215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1011
Unranked
7.70.2
6.56.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1070
Unranked
8.11.1
6.35.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1897
Unranked
4.22.7
3.56.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
1978
Unranked
7.72.9
7.74.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1456
Unranked
0.60.2
5.96.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
996
Unranked
3.71.1
5.84.7
Auto
Teleop
End