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Red1
19175.0
11652.7
6967.6
Blue54
6877.2
134310.1
101315.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18250103040506070154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
Unranked
7.61.5
9.17.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
1013
Unranked
15.02.5
12.715.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1917
Unranked
5.01.5
3.72.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
1343
Unranked
10.12.5
5.47.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1165
Unranked
2.71.5
5.94.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
687
Unranked
7.22.5
6.08.5
Auto
Teleop
End