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Red30
33016.4
115811.3
185211.6
Blue29
9917.2
10117.7
101315.0
69%Model gave it31%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422902060801003029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
Unranked
16.40.8
16.715.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1013
Unranked
15.00.1
16.015.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1852
Unranked
11.60.8
12.411.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
1011
Unranked
7.70.1
8.58.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1158
Unranked
11.30.8
11.010.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
991
Unranked
7.20.1
5.85.7
Auto
Teleop
End