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Red29
33016.4
49812.0
15727.4
Blue19
18282.4
185211.6
98017.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35340204060802919

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
Unranked
16.40.5
15.815.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
980
Unranked
17.51.1
18.617.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
498
Unranked
12.00.4
11.511.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1852
Unranked
11.61.1
11.610.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1572
Unranked
7.40.4
7.97.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
1828
Unranked
2.41.1
3.52.4
Auto
Teleop
End