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Red28
17175.7
17984.1
14016.8
Blue11
16336.9
10117.7
19175.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11220304050602811

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1401
Unranked
6.81.2
5.66.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
1011
Unranked
7.70.7
8.47.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1717
Unranked
5.71.2
3.64.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
1633
Unranked
6.90.8
7.76.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1798
Unranked
4.11.2
2.84.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
1917
Unranked
5.00.7
4.74.0
Auto
Teleop
End