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Red30
14560.6
124119.7
6018.6
Blue31
19261.4
134310.1
29411.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4318060801003031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
Unranked
19.70.7
19.518.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
294
Unranked
11.50.6
11.111.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
60
Unranked
18.60.7
19.518.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
1343
Unranked
10.10.7
9.710.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1456
Unranked
0.60.7
1.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1926
Unranked
1.40.7
0.71.4
Auto
Teleop
End