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Red25
3628.3
29412.7
5894.8
Blue30
107013.8
172212.5
6879.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2339060802530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
Unranked
12.70.0
12.512.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
1070
Unranked
13.80.1
14.314.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
362
Unranked
8.30.0
8.18.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
1722
Unranked
12.50.2
13.113.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
589
Unranked
4.80.0
4.54.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
687
Unranked
9.20.1
9.79.5
Auto
Teleop
End