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Red18
14386.7
107013.8
227.5
Blue41
3628.3
145211.2
6879.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2814010204050601841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1070
Unranked
13.80.5
10.09.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
1452
Unranked
11.22.1
3.85.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
22
Unranked
7.50.7
9.18.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
687
Unranked
9.21.4
7.58.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1438
Unranked
6.70.7
7.16.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
362
Unranked
8.31.3
4.65.8
Auto
Teleop
End