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Red32
50115.7
11106.4
172212.5
Blue59
33021.5
59710.9
18366.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363302060803259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
501
Unranked
15.70.2
15.715.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
330
Unranked
21.51.3
20.321.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1722
Unranked
12.50.3
13.413.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
597
Unranked
10.91.9
8.710.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1110
Unranked
6.40.3
6.66.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1836
Unranked
6.11.9
4.26.1
Auto
Teleop
End