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Red4
17858.6
13574.0
15913.1
Blue48
115820.5
12455.7
180013.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2128010405060448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159
Unranked
13.11.5
8.87.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
1158
Unranked
20.51.3
13.314.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1785
Unranked
8.61.5
6.75.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
1800
Unranked
13.41.8
6.78.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1357
Unranked
4.01.5
6.55.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
1245
Unranked
5.71.8
7.08.7
Auto
Teleop
End